Single poll

INSA poll of 13 May 2026 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
NIUS
Fieldwork period
5 to 12 May 2026
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • AfD42.0%+4.0
  • CDU24.0%-1.0
  • Linke13.0%±0
  • SPD6.0%±0
  • Grüne4.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%-1.0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Mar 2026.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 42.0%, followed by CDU on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 5 to 12 May 2026, method Online, commissioned by NIUS.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Mar 2026, AfD gains 4.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -2.0average 26.0
  • AfD +1.0average 41.0
  • Linke +1.0average 12.0
  • SPD -1.0average 7.0
  • Grüne ±0average 4.0
  • BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 41 seatsCDU: 23 seatsLinke: 13 seatsSPD: 6 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • AfD41
  • CDU23
  • Linke13
  • SPD6
  • AfD + CDU64 of 83
  • AfD + Linke54 of 83
  • AfD + SPD47 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + SPD42 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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