Single poll

INSA poll of 27 January 2021 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
19 to 25 Jan 2021
Respondents
1,084
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU30.0%+1.0
  • AfD23.0%±0
  • Linke16.0%-1.0
  • SPD10.0%±0
  • Grüne9.0%-1.0
  • FDP5.0%+1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Dec 2020.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,084 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 Jan 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Dec 2020, CDU gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 4.0 points higher and CDU 3.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +4.0average 19.0
  • CDU -3.5average 33.5
  • SPD -2.5average 12.5
  • FDP +1.0average 4.0
  • Linke ±0average 16.0
  • Grüne ±0average 9.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 27 seatsAfD: 21 seatsLinke: 14 seatsSPD: 9 seatsGrüne: 8 seatsFDP: 4 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • CDU27
  • AfD21
  • Linke14
  • SPD9
  • Grüne8
  • FDP4
  • CDU + AfD48 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + SPD50 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne49 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + FDP45 of 83
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne44 of 83
  • AfD + Linke + SPD44 of 83
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne43 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.