Single poll

INSA poll of 2 December 2020 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
23 to 30 Nov 2020
Respondents
1,079
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU29.0%+4.0
  • AfD23.0%-2.0
  • Linke17.0%-1.0
  • SPD10.0%-1.0
  • Grüne10.0%-1.0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Mar 2020.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,079 people were surveyed from 23 to 30 Nov 2020, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Mar 2020, CDU gains 4.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 4.5 points lower and AfD 4.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Dec 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -4.5average 33.5
  • AfD +4.0average 19.0
  • SPD -2.5average 12.5
  • Linke +1.0average 16.0
  • Grüne +1.0average 9.0
  • FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 27 seatsAfD: 22 seatsLinke: 16 seatsSPD: 9 seatsGrüne: 9 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • CDU27
  • AfD22
  • Linke16
  • SPD9
  • Grüne9
  • CDU + AfD49 of 83
  • CDU + Linke43 of 83
  • AfD + Linke + SPD47 of 83
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne47 of 83
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne45 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.