Single poll

INSA poll of 29 April 2021 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
20 to 27 Apr 2021
Respondents
1,042
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU26.0%-4.0
  • AfD24.0%+1.0
  • Linke13.0%-3.0
  • Grüne12.0%+3.0
  • SPD10.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Others9.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jan 2021.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,042 people were surveyed from 20 to 27 Apr 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jan 2021, CDU loses 4.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 4.0 points higher and SPD 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +4.0average 20.0
  • SPD -2.0average 12.0
  • FDP -2.0average 8.0
  • CDU -1.0average 27.0
  • Linke +1.0average 12.0
  • Grüne +1.0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 24 seatsAfD: 22 seatsLinke: 12 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsSPD: 9 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • CDU24
  • AfD22
  • Linke12
  • Grüne11
  • SPD9
  • FDP5
  • CDU + AfD46 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne47 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + SPD45 of 83
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne45 of 83
  • CDU + Grüne + SPD44 of 83
  • AfD + Linke + SPD43 of 83
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD42 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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