INSA poll of 15 October 2025 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election
- Commissioned by
- NIUS
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 14 Oct 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD40.0%+10.0
- CDU26.0%-8.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- SPD6.0%-1.0
- BSW6.0%-2.0
- FDP3.0%+1.0
- Grüne3.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Jun 2025.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 40.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 7 to 14 Oct 2025, method Online, commissioned by NIUS.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Jun 2025, AfD gains 10.0 points, CDU loses 8.0 points, BSW loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -2.0average 13.0
- AfD +1.0average 39.0
- CDU -1.0average 27.0
- SPD -1.0average 7.0
- BSW ±0average 6.0
- Grüne ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD37
- CDU24
- Linke10
- SPD6
- BSW6
- AfD + CDU61 of 83
- AfD + Linke47 of 83
- AfD + SPD43 of 83
- AfD + BSW43 of 83
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.