Single poll

INSA poll of 27 January 2026 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
NIUS
Fieldwork period
20 to 27 Jan 2026
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • AfD39.0%-1.0
  • CDU26.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • SPD8.0%+2.0
  • BSW6.0%±0
  • Grüne3.0%±0
  • FDP2.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Oct 2025.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 39.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 20 to 27 Jan 2026, method Online, commissioned by NIUS.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Oct 2025, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jan 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -2.0average 13.0
  • CDU -1.0average 27.0
  • SPD +1.0average 7.0
  • AfD ±0average 39.0
  • BSW ±0average 6.0
  • Grüne ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 36 seatsCDU: 24 seatsLinke: 10 seatsSPD: 7 seatsBSW: 6 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • AfD36
  • CDU24
  • Linke10
  • SPD7
  • BSW6
  • AfD + CDU60 of 83
  • AfD + Linke46 of 83
  • AfD + SPD43 of 83
  • AfD + BSW42 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.