INSA poll of 12 March 2021 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 12 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 1,354
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD32.0%+2.0
- CDU29.0%-1.0
- Grüne10.0%-2.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler4.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Mar 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 1,354 people were surveyed from 11 to 12 Mar 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Mar 2021, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 11.3
- Freie Wähler -1.0average 5.0
- FDP -0.9average 7.9
- AfD +0.7average 9.3
- Linke +0.4average 2.6
- SPD +0.2average 31.8
- CDU +0.2average 28.8
Seat projection from this poll
101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD37
- CDU33
- Grüne12
- AfD11
- FDP8
- SPD + CDU70 of 101
- SPD + Grüne + AfD60 of 101
- SPD + Grüne + FDP57 of 101
- SPD + AfD + FDP56 of 101
- CDU + Grüne + AfD56 of 101
- CDU + Grüne + FDP53 of 101
- CDU + AfD + FDP52 of 101
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.