INSA poll of 9 March 2021 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 8 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 1,501
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD30.0%-1.0
- CDU30.0%-3.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Freie Wähler4.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others5.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Feb 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 30.0%. 1,501 people were surveyed from 1 to 8 Mar 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Feb 2021, CDU loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.0 points lower and FDP 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.0average 32.0
- FDP -2.0average 8.0
- CDU +1.7average 28.3
- Grüne +1.0average 11.0
- AfD +0.7average 9.3
- Freie Wähler -0.7average 4.7
- Linke +0.2average 2.8
Seat projection from this poll
101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD35
- CDU34
- Grüne14
- AfD11
- FDP7
- SPD + CDU69 of 101
- SPD + Grüne + AfD60 of 101
- CDU + Grüne + AfD59 of 101
- SPD + Grüne + FDP56 of 101
- CDU + Grüne + FDP55 of 101
- SPD + AfD + FDP53 of 101
- CDU + AfD + FDP52 of 101
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.