Single poll

INSA poll of 23 February 2021 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
15 to 22 Feb 2021
Respondents
1,304
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU33.0%±0
  • SPD31.0%+1.0
  • Grüne12.0%-2.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%±0
  • Others3.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Jan 2021.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 31.0%. 1,304 people were surveyed from 15 to 22 Feb 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Jan 2021, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.0 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.0average 14.0
  • SPD +1.5average 29.5
  • AfD +1.5average 7.5
  • FDP +0.5average 5.5
  • Linke -0.5average 3.5
  • CDU ±0average 33.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 37 seatsSPD: 34 seatsGrüne: 13 seatsAfD: 10 seatsFDP: 7 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • CDU37
  • SPD34
  • Grüne13
  • AfD10
  • FDP7
  • CDU + SPD71 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD60 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP57 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD57 of 101
  • CDU + AfD + FDP54 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP54 of 101
  • SPD + AfD + FDP51 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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