Single poll

INSA poll of 23 January 2021 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
13 to 19 Jan 2021
Respondents
1,006
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU33.0%±0
  • SPD30.0%+3.0
  • Grüne14.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Linke3.0%-2.0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%±0
  • Others2.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Oct 2020.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 30.0%. 1,006 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Jan 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Oct 2020, SPD gains 3.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.0average 28.0
  • Grüne -1.0average 15.0
  • AfD +1.0average 8.0
  • CDU ±0average 33.0
  • FDP ±0average 6.0
  • Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 36 seatsSPD: 33 seatsGrüne: 15 seatsAfD: 10 seatsFDP: 7 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • CDU36
  • SPD33
  • Grüne15
  • AfD10
  • FDP7
  • CDU + SPD69 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne51 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD58 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP55 of 101
  • CDU + AfD + FDP53 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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