Single poll

INSA poll of 21 October 2020 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
13 to 20 Oct 2020
Respondents
1,013
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU33.0%+5.0
  • SPD27.0%+5.0
  • Grüne14.0%-6.0
  • AfD10.0%-2.0
  • FDP5.0%-3.0
  • Linke5.0%+1.0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%±0
  • Others3.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Sep 2019.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,013 people were surveyed from 13 to 20 Oct 2020, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Sep 2019, Grüne loses 6.0 points, CDU gains 5.0 points, SPD gains 5.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -3.0average 17.0
  • CDU -1.0average 34.0
  • SPD +1.0average 26.0
  • AfD +1.0average 9.0
  • FDP -1.0average 6.0
  • Linke +1.0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 36 seatsSPD: 29 seatsGrüne: 15 seatsAfD: 11 seatsFDP: 5 seatsLinke: 5 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • CDU36
  • SPD29
  • Grüne15
  • AfD11
  • FDP5
  • Linke5
  • CDU + SPD65 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne51 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD55 of 101
  • CDU + AfD + FDP52 of 101
  • CDU + AfD + Linke52 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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