Pollster and election
Infratest dimap on the federal election
206 polls since 27 January 2017, the latest from 3 September 2026 for ARD-Tagesthemen. Against the current average of all pollsters, Infratest dimap has AfD -0.9 and CDU/CSU +0.7. House effect since 22 Sep 2025: CDU/CSU +0.7, SPD -0.7, Grüne +0.6.
- AfD27.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU21.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- SPD13.0%+1.0
- Linke12.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others8.0%-1.0
27.0%
-1.0
AfD
21.0%
±0
CDU/CSU
15.0%
±0
Grüne
13.0%
+1.0
SPD
12.0%
+1.0
Linke
4.0%
±0
FDP
8.0%
-1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Infratest dimap poll of 6 Aug 2026.
Trend
All Infratest dimap figures for the federal election
Accuracy
Infratest dimap before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 23 Feb 2025 (poll 13 Feb 2025)1.7 ptsbiggest miss CDU/CSU +3.5
- Election 26 Sep 2021 (poll 16 Sep 2021)0.8 ptsbiggest miss CDU/CSU -2.1
- Election 24 Sep 2017 (poll 14 Sep 2017)1.3 ptsbiggest miss CDU/CSU +4.1
Archive
All 206 polls
| Pollster | Published | AfD | CDU/CSU | Grüne | SPD | Linke | FDP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infratest dimap | 3 Sep 2026 | 27 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 6 Aug 2026 | 28 | 21 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 2 Jul 2026 | 27 | 22 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 3 Jun 2026 | 27 | 23 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 7 May 2026 | 27 | 24 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 1 Apr 2026 | 25 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 5 Mar 2026 | 23 | 28 | 13 | 14 | 9 | – | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 5 Feb 2026 | 24 | 26 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 8 Jan 2026 | 25 | 28 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 4 Dec 2025 | 25 | 27 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 6 Nov 2025 | 26 | 27 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 2 Oct 2025 | 26 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 3 Sep 2025 | 25 | 27 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 7 Aug 2025 | 24 | 27 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 3 Jul 2025 | 23 | 30 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 4 Jun 2025 | 23 | 29 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 7 May 2025 | 23 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 3 Apr 2025 | 24 | 26 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 6 Mar 2025 | 21 | 29 | 12 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 13 Feb 2025 | 21 | 32 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 6 Feb 2025 | 21 | 31 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 30 Jan 2025 | 20 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 9 Jan 2025 | 20 | 31 | 14 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 19 Dec 2024 | 19 | 33 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 5 Dec 2024 | 18 | 32 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 21 Nov 2024 | 19 | 33 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 7 Nov 2024 | 18 | 34 | 12 | 16 | – | 5 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 31 Oct 2024 | 17 | 34 | 11 | 16 | – | 4 | 12 |
| Infratest dimap | 10 Oct 2024 | 17 | 31 | 13 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 5 Sep 2024 | 17 | 33 | 11 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 8 Aug 2024 | 16 | 32 | 12 | 15 | – | 5 | 11 |
| Infratest dimap | 4 Jul 2024 | 17 | 31 | 13 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 30 May 2024 | 18 | 31 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 2 May 2024 | 18 | 31 | 15 | 15 | – | 5 | 11 |
| Infratest dimap | 4 Apr 2024 | 18 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 7 Mar 2024 | 19 | 29 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 1 Feb 2024 | 19 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 4 Jan 2024 | 22 | 31 | 13 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 21 Dec 2023 | 21 | 32 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 7 Dec 2023 | 21 | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 9 Nov 2023 | 21 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 2 Nov 2023 | 22 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 13 Oct 2023 | 23 | 29 | 13 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 28 Sep 2023 | 22 | 28 | 14 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 15 Sep 2023 | 22 | 28 | 15 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 31 Aug 2023 | 22 | 29 | 14 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 18 Aug 2023 | 21 | 27 | 14 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| Infratest dimap | 3 Aug 2023 | 21 | 27 | 15 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 20 Jul 2023 | 20 | 28 | 13 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| Infratest dimap | 6 Jul 2023 | 20 | 28 | 14 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 23 Jun 2023 | 19 | 29 | 15 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Infratest dimap | 1 Jun 2023 | 18 | 29 | 15 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 12 May 2023 | 16 | 28 | 16 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 4 May 2023 | 16 | 30 | 16 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 14 Apr 2023 | 15 | 29 | 17 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 6 Apr 2023 | 15 | 30 | 17 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 16 Mar 2023 | 15 | 30 | 16 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 2 Mar 2023 | 14 | 31 | 17 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 17 Feb 2023 | 15 | 29 | 17 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 2 Feb 2023 | 15 | 27 | 18 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 |
The 60 most recent; older ones via the Chronicle.