Pollster and election
Infratest dimap on the Lower Saxony state election
14 polls since 10 August 2017, the latest from 19 November 2025 for NDR. Against the current average of all pollsters, Infratest dimap has CDU +4.0 and Grüne -3.0.
- SPD26.0%+1.0
- CDU26.0%-6.0
- AfD20.0%+5.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke6.0%
- FDP3.0%
- BSW3.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%-8.0
26.0%
+1.0
SPD
26.0%
-6.0
CDU
20.0%
+5.0
AfD
12.0%
±0
Grüne
6.0%
Linke
3.0%
FDP
3.0%
-1.0
BSW
4.0%
-8.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Infratest dimap poll of 8 Nov 2024.
Trend
All Infratest dimap figures for the Lower Saxony state election
Accuracy
Infratest dimap before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 9 Oct 2022 (poll 29 Sep 2022)1.2 ptsbiggest miss AfD -1.9
- Election 15 Oct 2017 (poll 5 Oct 2017)1.0 ptsbiggest miss SPD -2.9
Archive
All 14 polls
| Pollster | Published | SPD | CDU | AfD | Grüne | Linke | FDP | BSW | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infratest dimap | 19 Nov 2025 | 26 | 26 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 8 Nov 2024 | 25 | 32 | 15 | 12 | – | – | 4 | 12 |
| Infratest dimap | 14 Nov 2023 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 13 | – | 5 | – | 10 |
| Infratest dimap | 29 Sep 2022 | 32 | 30 | 9 | 16 | 3 | 5 | – | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 22 Sep 2022 | 32 | 28 | 9 | 17 | 4 | 5 | – | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 31 Aug 2022 | 31 | 27 | 7 | 19 | 4 | 6 | – | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 6 Jul 2022 | 30 | 27 | 6 | 22 | 3 | 7 | – | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 19 Nov 2021 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 16 | 3 | 10 | – | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 15 Oct 2020 | 27 | 35 | 6 | 20 | 5 | 4 | – | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 22 Nov 2018 | 26 | 28 | 9 | 24 | 4 | 6 | – | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 5 Oct 2017 | 34 | 34 | 8 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 8 | – | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 28 Sep 2017 | 34 | 35 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 8 | – | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 7 Sep 2017 | 32 | 37 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 6 | – | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 10 Aug 2017 | 32 | 40 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 7 | – | 3 |