Pollster and election
Infratest dimap on the Baden-Württemberg state election
27 polls since 9 March 2017, the latest from 26 February 2026 for ARD. Against the current average of all pollsters, Infratest dimap has AfD -1.5 and Grüne -0.8. House effect since 10 Apr 2024: Grüne +2.5, FDP -1.4, SPD -0.9.
- CDU28.0%-1.0
- Grüne27.0%+4.0
- AfD18.0%-2.0
- SPD7.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Linke5.5%-1.5
- Others8.5%+0.5
28.0%
-1.0
CDU
27.0%
+4.0
Grüne
18.0%
-2.0
AfD
7.0%
-1.0
SPD
6.0%
+1.0
FDP
5.5%
-1.5
Linke
8.5%
+0.5
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Infratest dimap poll of 22 Jan 2026.
Trend
All Infratest dimap figures for the Baden-Württemberg state election
Accuracy
Infratest dimap before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 8 Mar 2026 (poll 26 Feb 2026)1.7 ptsbiggest miss Grüne -3.2
- Election 14 Mar 2021 (poll 4 Mar 2021)0.9 ptsbiggest miss AfD +2.3
Archive
All 27 polls
| Pollster | Published | CDU | Grüne | AfD | SPD | FDP | Linke | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infratest dimap | 26 Feb 2026 | 28 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5.5 | 8.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 22 Jan 2026 | 29 | 23 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 16 Oct 2025 | 29 | 20 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 15 May 2025 | 31 | 20 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 12 Dec 2024 | 33 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 4 | – | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 10 Oct 2024 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 5 | – | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 16 May 2024 | 32 | 22 | 14 | 11 | 7 | – | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 18 Jan 2024 | 32 | 22 | 18 | 9 | 7 | – | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 27 Sep 2023 | 29 | 22 | 20 | 12 | 8 | – | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 20 Jul 2023 | 26 | 24 | 19 | 13 | 7 | – | 11 |
| Infratest dimap | 23 Mar 2023 | 27 | 26 | 12 | 15 | 10 | – | 10 |
| Infratest dimap | 27 Oct 2022 | 26 | 27 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 21 Apr 2022 | 26 | 28 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 10 Mar 2022 | 24 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 20 Jan 2022 | 23 | 26 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 14 Oct 2021 | 17 | 27 | 9 | 20 | 15 | 3 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 4 Mar 2021 | 25 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 4 Feb 2021 | 27 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 17 Dec 2020 | 30 | 35 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 15 Oct 2020 | 29 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 30 Apr 2020 | 30 | 34 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 12 Mar 2020 | 23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 19 Sep 2019 | 26 | 38 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 28 Mar 2019 | 28 | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 12 Sep 2018 | 28 | 29 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 31 Jan 2018 | 29 | 29 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 9 Mar 2017 | 28 | 27 | 11 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 3 |