Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 17 December 2020 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
SWR
Fieldwork period
14 to 16 Dec 2020
Respondents
1,001
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne35.0%+1.0
  • CDU30.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • SPD10.0%-1.0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Linke3.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Oct 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 35.0%, followed by CDU on 30.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 14 to 16 Dec 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SWR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Oct 2020, Grüne gains 1.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 6.0 points higher and Linke 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Dec 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +6.0average 29.0
  • Linke -2.0average 5.0
  • CDU -1.0average 31.0
  • AfD -1.0average 12.0
  • SPD -1.0average 11.0
  • FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

Grüne: 45 seatsCDU: 39 seatsAfD: 14 seatsSPD: 13 seatsFDP: 9 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • Grüne45
  • CDU39
  • AfD14
  • SPD13
  • FDP9
  • Grüne + CDU84 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + SPD72 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + FDP68 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP67 of 120
  • CDU + AfD + SPD66 of 120
  • CDU + AfD + FDP62 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP61 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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