Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 4 February 2021 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung
Fieldwork period
29 Jan 2021 to 2 Feb 2021
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne34.0%-1.0
  • CDU27.0%-3.0
  • SPD11.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%+2.0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 17 Dec 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 29 Jan 2021 to 2 Feb 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 17 Dec 2020, CDU loses 3.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 4.0 points higher and CDU 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +4.0average 30.0
  • CDU -3.0average 30.0
  • AfD -2.0average 12.0
  • SPD -1.0average 12.0
  • FDP +1.0average 8.0
  • Linke -1.0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

Grüne: 45 seatsCDU: 36 seatsSPD: 14 seatsAfD: 13 seatsFDP: 12 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • Grüne45
  • CDU36
  • SPD14
  • AfD13
  • FDP12
  • Grüne + CDU81 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD72 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP71 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + FDP70 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + AfD63 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP62 of 120
  • CDU + AfD + FDP61 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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