Infratest dimap poll of 4 March 2021 for the Baden-Württemberg state election
- Commissioned by
- ARD
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 3 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 1,185
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- Grüne33.0%-1.0
- CDU25.0%-2.0
- AfD12.0%+2.0
- SPD10.0%-1.0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Feb 2021.
In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 25.0%. 1,185 people were surveyed from 1 to 3 Mar 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Feb 2021, CDU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -1.3average 26.3
- SPD -1.2average 11.2
- Linke +0.5average 3.5
- Grüne +0.3average 32.7
- AfD +0.3average 11.7
- FDP +0.2average 9.8
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- Grüne44
- CDU34
- AfD16
- SPD13
- FDP13
- Grüne + CDU78 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + SPD73 of 120
- Grüne + AfD + FDP73 of 120
- Grüne + SPD + FDP70 of 120
- CDU + AfD + SPD63 of 120
- CDU + AfD + FDP63 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.