Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 14 October 2021 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung
Fieldwork period
7 to 12 Oct 2021
Respondents
1,162
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Grüne27.0%-6.0
  • SPD20.0%+10.0
  • CDU17.0%-8.0
  • FDP15.0%+5.0
  • AfD9.0%-3.0
  • Linke3.0%-1.0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Mar 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,162 people were surveyed from 7 to 12 Oct 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Mar 2021, SPD gains 10.0 points, CDU loses 8.0 points, Grüne loses 6.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 3.0 points higher and CDU 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +3.0average 24.0
  • CDU -3.0average 20.0
  • SPD -1.0average 21.0
  • FDP -1.0average 16.0
  • Freie Wähler +1.0average 2.0
  • AfD ±0average 9.0
  • Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

Grüne: 37 seatsSPD: 27 seatsCDU: 23 seatsFDP: 21 seatsAfD: 12 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • Grüne37
  • SPD27
  • CDU23
  • FDP21
  • AfD12
  • Grüne + SPD64 of 120
  • Grüne + CDU + FDP81 of 120
  • Grüne + CDU + AfD72 of 120
  • SPD + CDU + FDP71 of 120
  • Grüne + FDP + AfD70 of 120
  • SPD + CDU + AfD62 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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