Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 20 January 2022 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung
Fieldwork period
13 to 18 Jan 2022
Respondents
1,166
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Grüne26.0%-1.0
  • CDU23.0%+6.0
  • SPD16.0%-4.0
  • FDP12.0%-3.0
  • AfD11.0%+2.0
  • Linke4.0%+1.0
  • Others8.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Oct 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU on 23.0%. 1,166 people were surveyed from 13 to 18 Jan 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Oct 2021, CDU gains 6.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points, FDP loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has FDP 5.5 points lower and SPD 4.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -5.5average 17.5
  • SPD -4.5average 20.5
  • CDU +3.5average 19.5
  • AfD +2.2average 8.8
  • Grüne +1.0average 25.0
  • Linke +1.0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

Grüne: 36 seatsCDU: 31 seatsSPD: 22 seatsFDP: 16 seatsAfD: 15 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • Grüne36
  • CDU31
  • SPD22
  • FDP16
  • AfD15
  • Grüne + CDU67 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP74 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD73 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP69 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + AfD68 of 120
  • Grüne + FDP + AfD67 of 120
  • CDU + FDP + AfD62 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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