Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 15 October 2020 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung
Fieldwork period
8 to 13 Oct 2020
Respondents
1,001
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne34.0%±0
  • CDU29.0%-1.0
  • SPD11.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%+1.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 30 Apr 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 8 to 13 Oct 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 30 Apr 2020, CDU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 6.0 points higher and CDU 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +6.0average 28.0
  • CDU -2.0average 31.0
  • SPD -1.0average 12.0
  • AfD -1.0average 12.0
  • FDP -1.0average 7.0
  • Linke -1.0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

Grüne: 45 seatsCDU: 38 seatsSPD: 15 seatsAfD: 14 seatsFDP: 8 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • Grüne45
  • CDU38
  • SPD15
  • AfD14
  • FDP8
  • Grüne + CDU83 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD74 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP68 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + FDP67 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + AfD67 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP61 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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