Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 30 April 2020 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
SWR
Fieldwork period
27 to 28 Apr 2020
Respondents
1,003
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne34.0%-2.0
  • CDU30.0%+7.0
  • AfD12.0%-2.0
  • SPD11.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Linke3.0%-2.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Mar 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 30.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 27 to 28 Apr 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SWR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Mar 2020, CDU gains 7.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 5.0 points higher and SPD 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +5.0average 29.0
  • SPD -2.0average 13.0
  • CDU -1.0average 31.0
  • AfD +1.0average 11.0
  • FDP -1.0average 7.0
  • Linke -1.0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

Grüne: 44 seatsCDU: 39 seatsAfD: 15 seatsSPD: 14 seatsFDP: 8 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • Grüne44
  • CDU39
  • AfD15
  • SPD14
  • FDP8
  • Grüne + CDU83 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + SPD73 of 120
  • CDU + AfD + SPD68 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + FDP67 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP66 of 120
  • CDU + AfD + FDP62 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP61 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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