Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 12 March 2020 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung
Fieldwork period
5 to 10 Mar 2020
Respondents
1,001
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne36.0%-2.0
  • CDU23.0%-3.0
  • AfD14.0%+2.0
  • SPD11.0%+3.0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%+2.0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Sep 2019.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 36.0%, followed by CDU on 23.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 5 to 10 Mar 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Sep 2019, CDU loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 6.0 points higher and CDU 4.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +6.0average 30.0
  • CDU -4.0average 27.0
  • FDP -2.0average 9.0
  • AfD +1.0average 13.0
  • Linke +1.0average 4.0
  • SPD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

Grüne: 45 seatsCDU: 29 seatsAfD: 17 seatsSPD: 14 seatsFDP: 9 seatsLinke: 6 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • Grüne45
  • CDU29
  • AfD17
  • SPD14
  • FDP9
  • Linke6
  • Grüne + CDU74 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD62 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP68 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke65 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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