Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 19 September 2019 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung
Fieldwork period
16 to 17 Sep 2019
Respondents
1,004
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne38.0%+6.0
  • CDU26.0%-2.0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • SPD8.0%-4.0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Linke3.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Mar 2019.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 38.0%, followed by CDU on 26.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 16 to 17 Sep 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Mar 2019, Grüne gains 6.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 7.5 points higher and Linke 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +7.5average 30.5
  • Linke -3.0average 6.0
  • SPD -2.0average 10.0
  • FDP -1.5average 9.5
  • CDU +1.0average 25.0
  • AfD -0.5average 12.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

Grüne: 50 seatsCDU: 34 seatsAfD: 16 seatsSPD: 10 seatsFDP: 10 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • Grüne50
  • CDU34
  • AfD16
  • SPD10
  • FDP10
  • Grüne + CDU84 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD66 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP70 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.