Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 28 March 2019 for the Baden-Württemberg state election

Commissioned by
SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung
Fieldwork period
20 to 26 Mar 2019
Respondents
1,002
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne32.0%+3.0
  • CDU28.0%±0
  • SPD12.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%-4.0
  • FDP9.0%+2.0
  • Linke4.0%-3.0
  • Others4.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Sep 2018.

In this poll Infratest dimap has Grüne ahead on 32.0%, followed by CDU on 28.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 20 to 26 Mar 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SWR / Stuttgarter Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Sep 2018, AfD loses 4.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 3.0 points higher and AfD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +3.0average 25.0
  • AfD -1.5average 12.5
  • Linke -1.5average 5.5
  • Grüne +1.0average 31.0
  • SPD +1.0average 11.0
  • FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

Grüne: 42 seatsCDU: 36 seatsSPD: 16 seatsAfD: 14 seatsFDP: 12 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • Grüne42
  • CDU36
  • SPD16
  • AfD14
  • FDP12
  • Grüne + CDU78 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD72 of 120
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP70 of 120
  • Grüne + AfD + FDP68 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + AfD66 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP64 of 120
  • CDU + AfD + FDP62 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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