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Pollster and election

Infratest dimap on the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

19 polls since 9 June 2020, the latest from 10 September 2026 for ARD. Against the current average of all pollsters, Infratest dimap has AfD +1.2 and Linke -1.2. House effect since 17 Sep 2024: AfD +2.8, CDU -2.2, SPD +1.8.

  • AfD38.0%+3.0
  • SPD33.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%-2.0
  • CDU7.0%-1.0
  • Grüne5.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Infratest dimap poll of 3 Sep 2026.

This poll in detail

Trend

All Infratest dimap figures for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

0102030402023202420252026AfDSPDLinkeCDUGrüneBSW
Dots are individual polls, lines the rolling average over 120 days. Period 19 Oct 2022 to 10 Sep 2026. Tap the tiles to hide parties.
Accuracy

Infratest dimap before the last elections

Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.

  • Election 20 Sep 2026 (poll 10 Sep 2026)1.5 ptsbiggest miss SPD -2.5
  • Election 26 Sep 2021 (poll 17 Sep 2021)0.8 ptsbiggest miss AfD -1.7
Archive

All 19 polls

Infratest dimap polls for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
PollsterPublishedAfDSPDLinkeCDUGrüneBSWOthers
Infratest dimap10 Sep 2026383397544
Infratest dimap3 Sep 20263532118545
Infratest dimap9 Jul 20263629129545
Infratest dimap13 May 202636271310455
Infratest dimap27 Jan 202635251213465
Infratest dimap25 Sep 202538191213576
Infratest dimap28 Jan 202530227176105
Infratest dimap3 Nov 202428225194148
Infratest dimap9 May 202426215218109
Infratest dimap19 Sep 202332238188–8
Infratest dimap19 Oct 2022242811178–8
Infratest dimap8 Jun 2022193091911–8
Infratest dimap17 Sep 2021154010156–9
Infratest dimap9 Sep 2021173910146–7
Infratest dimap26 Aug 2021173611156–7
Infratest dimap15 Jul 2021162712237–8
Infratest dimap20 May 20211723112114–8
Infratest dimap25 Nov 20201527122710–6
Infratest dimap9 Jun 20201524132910–5

Other elections covered by this pollster

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

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