Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 9 July 2026 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
2 to 6 Jul 2026
Respondents
1,167
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD36.0%±0
  • SPD29.0%+2.0
  • Linke12.0%-1.0
  • CDU9.0%-1.0
  • Grüne5.0%+1.0
  • BSW4.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 May 2026.

In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 1,167 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Jul 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 May 2026, SPD gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has BSW 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jul 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • BSW -2.0average 6.0
  • AfD +1.0average 35.0
  • SPD +1.0average 28.0
  • Linke +1.0average 11.0
  • CDU -1.0average 10.0
  • Grüne +1.0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 28 seatsSPD: 23 seatsLinke: 9 seatsCDU: 7 seatsGrüne: 4 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • AfD28
  • SPD23
  • Linke9
  • CDU7
  • Grüne4
  • AfD + SPD51 of 71
  • AfD + Linke37 of 71
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne39 of 71
  • SPD + Linke + CDU39 of 71
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne36 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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