Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 3 September 2026 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
26 to 31 Aug 2026
Respondents
1,215
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD35.0%-1.0
  • SPD32.0%+3.0
  • Linke11.0%-1.0
  • CDU8.0%-1.0
  • Grüne5.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Jul 2026.

In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 32.0%. 1,215 people were surveyed from 26 to 31 Aug 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Jul 2026, SPD gains 3.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 3.5 points higher and CDU 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +3.5average 28.5
  • CDU -2.0average 10.0
  • AfD -1.5average 36.5
  • Linke ±0average 11.0
  • Grüne ±0average 5.0
  • BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 27 seatsSPD: 25 seatsLinke: 9 seatsCDU: 6 seatsGrüne: 4 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • AfD27
  • SPD25
  • Linke9
  • CDU6
  • Grüne4
  • AfD + SPD52 of 71
  • AfD + Linke36 of 71
  • SPD + Linke + CDU40 of 71
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne38 of 71
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne37 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.