Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 10 September 2026 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
ARD
Fieldwork period
7 to 9 Sep 2026
Respondents
1,556
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD38.0%+3.0
  • SPD33.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%-2.0
  • CDU7.0%-1.0
  • Grüne5.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Sep 2026.

In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 33.0%. 1,556 people were surveyed from 7 to 9 Sep 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Sep 2026, AfD gains 3.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.5 points higher and Linke 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.5average 30.5
  • Linke -2.0average 11.0
  • AfD +1.5average 36.5
  • CDU -1.5average 8.5
  • Grüne ±0average 5.0
  • BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 29 seatsSPD: 26 seatsLinke: 7 seatsCDU: 5 seatsGrüne: 4 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • AfD29
  • SPD26
  • Linke7
  • CDU5
  • Grüne4
  • AfD + SPD55 of 71
  • AfD + Linke36 of 71
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne38 of 71
  • SPD + Linke + CDU38 of 71
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne37 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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