Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 13 May 2026 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
7 to 11 May 2026
Respondents
1,153
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD36.0%+1.0
  • SPD27.0%+2.0
  • Linke13.0%+1.0
  • CDU10.0%-3.0
  • BSW5.0%-1.0
  • Grüne4.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Jan 2026.

In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,153 people were surveyed from 7 to 11 May 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Jan 2026, CDU loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.5 points higher and Linke 2.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.5average 24.5
  • Linke +2.5average 10.5
  • CDU -2.5average 12.5
  • AfD +0.5average 35.5
  • Grüne -0.5average 4.5
  • BSW ±0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 28 seatsSPD: 21 seatsLinke: 10 seatsCDU: 8 seatsBSW: 4 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • AfD28
  • SPD21
  • Linke10
  • CDU8
  • BSW4
  • AfD + SPD49 of 71
  • AfD + Linke38 of 71
  • AfD + CDU36 of 71
  • SPD + Linke + CDU39 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.