Infratest dimap poll of 9 May 2024 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- NDR
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 7 May 2024
- Respondents
- 1,177
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD26.0%-6.0
- SPD21.0%-2.0
- CDU21.0%+3.0
- BSW10.0%
- Grüne8.0%±0
- Linke5.0%-3.0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Sep 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,177 people were surveyed from 2 to 7 May 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Sep 2023, AfD loses 6.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 7.0 points lower and BSW 5.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -7.0average 33.0
- BSW +5.0average 5.0
- CDU +3.2average 17.8
- Linke -3.0average 8.0
- Grüne +0.7average 7.3
- SPD +0.5average 20.5
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD20
- SPD17
- CDU16
- BSW8
- Grüne6
- Linke4
- AfD + SPD37 of 71
- AfD + CDU36 of 71
- SPD + CDU + BSW41 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Grüne39 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Linke37 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.