Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 19 September 2023 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
13 to 16 Sep 2023
Respondents
1,182
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD32.0%+8.0
  • SPD23.0%-5.0
  • CDU18.0%+1.0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%-3.0
  • FDP3.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Oct 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,182 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 Sep 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Oct 2022, AfD gains 8.0 points, SPD loses 5.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 4.0 points lower and AfD 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -4.0average 27.0
  • AfD +3.0average 29.0
  • Grüne +2.0average 6.0
  • Linke -2.0average 10.0
  • FDP -1.0average 4.0
  • CDU ±0average 18.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 26 seatsSPD: 18 seatsCDU: 14 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsLinke: 6 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • AfD26
  • SPD18
  • CDU14
  • Grüne7
  • Linke6
  • AfD + SPD44 of 71
  • AfD + CDU40 of 71
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke39 of 71
  • SPD + CDU + Grüne39 of 71
  • SPD + CDU + Linke38 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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