Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 19 October 2022 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
13 to 18 Oct 2022
Respondents
1,168
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD28.0%-2.0
  • AfD24.0%+5.0
  • CDU17.0%-2.0
  • Linke11.0%+2.0
  • Grüne8.0%-3.0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 8 Jun 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,168 people were surveyed from 13 to 18 Oct 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 8 Jun 2022, AfD gains 5.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 3.0 points lower and AfD 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -3.0average 31.0
  • AfD +3.0average 21.0
  • CDU +1.5average 15.5
  • Linke +1.5average 9.5
  • Grüne -1.5average 9.5
  • FDP -1.5average 5.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 23 seatsAfD: 19 seatsCDU: 14 seatsLinke: 9 seatsGrüne: 6 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • SPD23
  • AfD19
  • CDU14
  • Linke9
  • Grüne6
  • SPD + AfD42 of 71
  • SPD + CDU37 of 71
  • AfD + CDU + Linke42 of 71
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne39 of 71
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne38 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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