Infratest dimap poll of 3 November 2024 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- NDR
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 28 Oct 2024
- Respondents
- 1,153
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD28.0%+2.0
- SPD22.0%+1.0
- CDU19.0%-2.0
- BSW14.0%+4.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Grüne4.0%-4.0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 May 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,153 people were surveyed from 23 to 28 Oct 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 May 2024, BSW gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 4.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 3.0 points higher and BSW 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +3.0average 25.0
- BSW -3.0average 17.0
- SPD +2.0average 20.0
- CDU -2.0average 21.0
- Linke +1.0average 4.0
- Grüne -1.0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD23
- SPD18
- CDU15
- BSW11
- Linke4
- AfD + SPD41 of 71
- AfD + CDU38 of 71
- SPD + CDU + BSW44 of 71
- AfD + BSW + Linke38 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Linke37 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.