Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 28 January 2025 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
20 to 25 Jan 2025
Respondents
1,185
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD30.0%+2.0
  • SPD22.0%±0
  • CDU17.0%-2.0
  • BSW10.0%-4.0
  • Linke7.0%+2.0
  • Grüne6.0%+2.0
  • FDP3.0%
  • Others5.0%-3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Nov 2024.

In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,185 people were surveyed from 20 to 25 Jan 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Nov 2024, BSW loses 4.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has BSW 6.0 points lower and AfD 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • BSW -6.0average 16.0
  • AfD +3.0average 27.0
  • CDU -2.0average 19.0
  • Linke +2.0average 5.0
  • SPD +1.0average 21.0
  • Grüne +1.0average 5.0
  • FDP +1.0average 2.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 23 seatsSPD: 17 seatsCDU: 13 seatsBSW: 8 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsLinke: 5 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • AfD23
  • SPD17
  • CDU13
  • BSW8
  • Grüne5
  • Linke5
  • AfD + SPD40 of 71
  • AfD + CDU36 of 71
  • SPD + CDU + BSW38 of 71
  • AfD + BSW + Grüne36 of 71
  • AfD + BSW + Linke36 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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