Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 25 September 2025 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
18 to 23 Sep 2025
Respondents
1,151
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD38.0%+8.0
  • SPD19.0%-3.0
  • CDU13.0%-4.0
  • Linke12.0%+5.0
  • BSW7.0%-3.0
  • Grüne5.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Jan 2025.

In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,151 people were surveyed from 18 to 23 Sep 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Jan 2025, AfD gains 8.0 points, Linke gains 5.0 points, CDU loses 4.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 9.0 points higher and CDU 3.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +9.0average 29.0
  • CDU -3.5average 16.5
  • SPD -2.0average 21.0
  • Grüne -1.0average 6.0
  • Linke +0.5average 11.5
  • BSW -0.5average 7.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 29 seatsSPD: 14 seatsCDU: 10 seatsLinke: 9 seatsBSW: 5 seatsGrüne: 4 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • AfD29
  • SPD14
  • CDU10
  • Linke9
  • BSW5
  • Grüne4
  • AfD + SPD43 of 71
  • AfD + CDU39 of 71
  • AfD + Linke38 of 71
  • AfD + BSW + Grüne38 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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