Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 20 May 2021 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
NDR / Ostsee-Zeitung / Schweriner Volkszeitung
Fieldwork period
12 to 18 May 2021
Respondents
1,245
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD23.0%-4.0
  • CDU21.0%-6.0
  • AfD17.0%+2.0
  • Grüne14.0%+4.0
  • Linke11.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%+3.0
  • Others8.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 25 Nov 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 23.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,245 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 May 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR / Ostsee-Zeitung / Schweriner Volkszeitung.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 25 Nov 2020, CDU loses 6.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points, Grüne gains 4.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Linke 5.0 points lower and Grüne 4.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -5.0average 16.0
  • Grüne +4.0average 10.0
  • SPD -3.0average 26.0
  • CDU -3.0average 24.0
  • AfD +3.0average 14.0
  • FDP +3.0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 18 seatsCDU: 16 seatsAfD: 13 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsLinke: 8 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • SPD18
  • CDU16
  • AfD13
  • Grüne11
  • Linke8
  • FDP5
  • SPD + CDU + AfD47 of 71
  • SPD + CDU + Grüne45 of 71
  • SPD + CDU + Linke42 of 71
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne42 of 71
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne40 of 71
  • SPD + CDU + FDP39 of 71
  • SPD + AfD + Linke39 of 71
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke37 of 71
  • CDU + AfD + Linke37 of 71
  • SPD + AfD + FDP36 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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