Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 15 July 2021 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
NDR / Ostsee-Zeitung / Schweriner Volkszeitung
Fieldwork period
8 to 13 Jul 2021
Respondents
1,159
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD27.0%+4.0
  • CDU23.0%+2.0
  • AfD16.0%-1.0
  • Linke12.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Grüne7.0%-7.0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 May 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU on 23.0%. 1,159 people were surveyed from 8 to 13 Jul 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR / Ostsee-Zeitung / Schweriner Volkszeitung.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 May 2021, Grüne loses 7.0 points, SPD gains 4.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 3.0 points higher and AfD 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +3.0average 20.0
  • AfD -3.0average 19.0
  • SPD +1.0average 26.0
  • Linke -1.0average 13.0
  • FDP +1.0average 6.0
  • Grüne -1.0average 8.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 21 seatsCDU: 18 seatsAfD: 12 seatsLinke: 9 seatsFDP: 6 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • SPD21
  • CDU18
  • AfD12
  • Linke9
  • FDP6
  • Grüne5
  • SPD + CDU39 of 71
  • SPD + AfD + Linke42 of 71
  • SPD + AfD + FDP39 of 71
  • CDU + AfD + Linke39 of 71
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne38 of 71
  • SPD + Linke + FDP36 of 71
  • CDU + AfD + FDP36 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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