Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 26 August 2021 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
NDR / Ostsee-Zeitung / Schweriner Volkszeitung
Fieldwork period
19 to 24 Aug 2021
Respondents
1,153
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD36.0%+9.0
  • AfD17.0%+1.0
  • CDU15.0%-8.0
  • Linke11.0%-1.0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Grüne6.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Jul 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 36.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,153 people were surveyed from 19 to 24 Aug 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR / Ostsee-Zeitung / Schweriner Volkszeitung.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Jul 2021, SPD gains 9.0 points, CDU loses 8.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 7.0 points higher and CDU 6.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +7.0average 29.0
  • CDU -6.0average 21.0
  • FDP +2.0average 6.0
  • AfD -1.5average 18.5
  • Linke -0.5average 11.5
  • Grüne -0.5average 6.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 28 seatsAfD: 13 seatsCDU: 11 seatsLinke: 8 seatsFDP: 6 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • SPD28
  • AfD13
  • CDU11
  • Linke8
  • FDP6
  • Grüne5
  • SPD + AfD41 of 71
  • SPD + CDU39 of 71
  • SPD + Linke36 of 71
  • SPD + FDP + Grüne39 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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