Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 17 September 2021 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
ARD
Fieldwork period
13 to 15 Sep 2021
Respondents
1,533
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD40.0%+1.0
  • AfD15.0%-2.0
  • CDU15.0%+1.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • Grüne6.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%-2.0
  • Others9.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Sep 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 40.0%, followed by AfD on 15.0%. 1,533 people were surveyed from 13 to 15 Sep 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Sep 2021, AfD loses 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 5.0 points higher and AfD 2.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +5.0average 35.0
  • AfD -2.3average 17.3
  • Linke -2.0average 12.0
  • FDP -1.3average 6.3
  • Grüne -0.5average 6.5
  • CDU -0.3average 15.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 31 seatsAfD: 12 seatsCDU: 12 seatsLinke: 8 seatsFDP: 4 seatsGrüne: 4 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • SPD31
  • AfD12
  • CDU12
  • Linke8
  • FDP4
  • Grüne4
  • SPD + AfD43 of 71
  • SPD + CDU43 of 71
  • SPD + Linke39 of 71
  • SPD + FDP + Grüne39 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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