Pollster and election
Infratest dimap on the Hamburg state election
12 polls since 25 February 2019, the latest from 25 March 2026 for NDR. Against the current average of all pollsters, Infratest dimap has CDU +2.0 and Grüne +1.5.
- SPD30.0%-2.0
- Grüne20.0%+2.0
- CDU20.0%+3.0
- Linke12.0%+2.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Others8.0%+4.0
30.0%
-2.0
SPD
20.0%
+2.0
Grüne
20.0%
+3.0
CDU
12.0%
+2.0
Linke
10.0%
±0
AfD
8.0%
+4.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Infratest dimap poll of 20 Feb 2025.
Trend
All Infratest dimap figures for the Hamburg state election
Accuracy
Infratest dimap before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 2 Mar 2025 (poll 20 Feb 2025)1.3 ptsbiggest miss CDU -2.8
- Election 23 Feb 2020 (poll 13 Feb 2020)1.2 ptsbiggest miss CDU +2.8
Archive
All 12 polls
| Pollster | Published | SPD | Grüne | CDU | Linke | AfD | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infratest dimap | 25 Mar 2026 | 30 | 20 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 20 Feb 2025 | 32 | 18 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 5 Feb 2025 | 31 | 20 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 15 Jan 2025 | 31 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 27 Nov 2024 | 30 | 21 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 7 Feb 2024 | 30 | 21 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 13 Feb 2020 | 38 | 23 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 6 Feb 2020 | 34 | 27 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 23 Jan 2020 | 32 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 9 Jan 2020 | 29 | 29 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 17 Dec 2019 | 28 | 26 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 25 Feb 2019 | 31 | 22 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 4 |