Infratest dimap poll of 20 February 2025 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- ARD
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 19 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,308
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD32.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%-2.0
- CDU17.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%+2.0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Volt3.0%
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others4.0%-4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Feb 2025.
In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,308 people were surveyed from 17 to 19 Feb 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 5 Feb 2025, Grüne loses 2.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Linke 3.3 points higher and Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +3.3average 6.7
- Grüne -2.0average 20.0
- CDU -1.3average 18.3
- AfD +0.7average 9.3
- FDP -0.3average 3.3
- BSW -0.3average 3.3
- SPD ±0average 32.0
- Volt ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD44
- Grüne25
- CDU24
- Linke14
- AfD14
- SPD + Grüne69 of 121
- SPD + CDU68 of 121
- SPD + Linke + AfD72 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + Linke63 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + AfD63 of 121
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.