Infratest dimap poll of 5 February 2025 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- NDR
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Jan 2025 to 3 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,164
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD31.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%-2.0
- CDU18.0%+1.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke8.0%+3.0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- BSW3.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Jan 2025.
In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,164 people were surveyed from 29 Jan 2025 to 3 Feb 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Jan 2025, Linke gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Linke 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +2.5average 5.5
- SPD -1.0average 32.0
- Grüne -0.5average 20.5
- CDU -0.5average 18.5
- AfD -0.5average 9.5
- FDP -0.5average 3.5
- BSW -0.5average 3.5
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD44
- Grüne28
- CDU25
- AfD13
- Linke11
- SPD + Grüne72 of 121
- SPD + CDU69 of 121
- SPD + AfD + Linke68 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + AfD66 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + Linke64 of 121
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.