Infratest dimap poll of 15 January 2025 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- NDR
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 13 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 1,159
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD31.0%+1.0
- Grüne22.0%+1.0
- CDU17.0%-2.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke5.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others8.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Nov 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,159 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 Jan 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 Nov 2024, CDU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 2.0 points lower and Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.0average 19.0
- Grüne +1.5average 20.5
- Linke -1.0average 6.0
- SPD ±0average 31.0
- AfD ±0average 9.0
- FDP ±0average 4.0
- BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD45
- Grüne32
- CDU24
- AfD13
- Linke7
- SPD + Grüne77 of 121
- SPD + CDU69 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + AfD69 of 121
- SPD + AfD + Linke65 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + Linke63 of 121
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.