Infratest dimap poll of 27 November 2024 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- NDR
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 25 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 1,177
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD30.0%±0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- CDU19.0%-1.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- BSW4.0%
- FDP3.0%-2.0
- Volt3.0%
- Others5.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Feb 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,177 people were surveyed from 20 to 25 Nov 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Feb 2024, FDP loses 2.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.0average 21.0
- AfD +1.0average 8.0
- Linke +1.0average 5.0
- FDP -1.0average 4.0
- SPD ±0average 30.0
- Grüne ±0average 21.0
- BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD43
- Grüne30
- CDU27
- AfD13
- Linke8
- SPD + Grüne73 of 121
- SPD + CDU70 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + AfD70 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + Linke65 of 121
- SPD + AfD + Linke64 of 121
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.