Infratest dimap poll of 7 February 2024 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- NDR
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 5 Feb 2024
- Respondents
- 1,164
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD30.0%-8.0
- Grüne21.0%-2.0
- CDU20.0%+6.0
- AfD9.0%+3.0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others8.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 Feb 2020.
In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,164 people were surveyed from 1 to 5 Feb 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 Feb 2020, SPD loses 8.0 points, CDU gains 6.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 4.5 points lower and Linke 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Feb 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -4.5average 13.5
- Linke -2.3average 9.3
- SPD +2.2average 27.8
- FDP +1.5average 3.5
- Grüne +0.7average 20.3
- CDU +0.5average 19.5
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD39
- Grüne28
- CDU26
- AfD12
- Linke9
- FDP7
- SPD + Grüne67 of 121
- SPD + CDU65 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + AfD66 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + Linke63 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + FDP61 of 121
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.