Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 13 February 2020 for the Hamburg state election

Commissioned by
ARD
Fieldwork period
10 to 12 Feb 2020
Respondents
1,003
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD38.0%+4.0
  • Grüne23.0%-4.0
  • CDU14.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • AfD6.0%-1.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Feb 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 10 to 12 Feb 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ARD.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Feb 2020, SPD gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 4.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 8.7 points higher and FDP 2.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +8.7average 29.3
  • FDP -2.3average 7.3
  • Grüne -2.2average 25.2
  • Linke -2.2average 10.2
  • CDU -1.7average 15.7
  • AfD -1.2average 7.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

SPD: 49 seatsGrüne: 30 seatsCDU: 18 seatsLinke: 10 seatsAfD: 8 seatsFDP: 6 seatsMajority from 61121of 121 seats
  • SPD49
  • Grüne30
  • CDU18
  • Linke10
  • AfD8
  • FDP6
  • SPD + Grüne79 of 121
  • SPD + CDU67 of 121
  • SPD + Linke + AfD67 of 121
  • SPD + Linke + FDP65 of 121
  • SPD + AfD + FDP63 of 121
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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