Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 25 March 2026 for the Hamburg state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
19 to 23 Mar 2026
Respondents
1,152
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD30.0%-2.0
  • Grüne20.0%+2.0
  • CDU20.0%+3.0
  • Linke12.0%+2.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Others8.0%+4.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Feb 2025.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,152 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Mar 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Feb 2025, CDU gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points.

Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

SPD: 40 seatsGrüne: 26 seatsCDU: 26 seatsLinke: 16 seatsAfD: 13 seatsMajority from 61121of 121 seats
  • SPD40
  • Grüne26
  • CDU26
  • Linke16
  • AfD13
  • SPD + Grüne66 of 121
  • SPD + CDU66 of 121
  • SPD + Linke + AfD69 of 121
  • Grüne + CDU + Linke68 of 121
  • Grüne + CDU + AfD65 of 121
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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