Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 25 February 2019 for the Hamburg state election

Commissioned by
NDR
Fieldwork period
18 to 21 Feb 2019
Respondents
1,005
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD31.0%
  • Grüne22.0%
  • CDU17.0%
  • Linke10.0%
  • FDP8.0%
  • AfD8.0%
  • Others4.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 18 to 21 Feb 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by NDR.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 3.0 points higher and Grüne 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +3.0average 14.0
  • Grüne -2.0average 24.0
  • SPD +1.0average 30.0
  • Linke -1.0average 11.0
  • FDP -1.0average 9.0
  • AfD +1.0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

SPD: 39 seatsGrüne: 28 seatsCDU: 21 seatsLinke: 13 seatsFDP: 10 seatsAfD: 10 seatsMajority from 61121of 121 seats
  • SPD39
  • Grüne28
  • CDU21
  • Linke13
  • FDP10
  • AfD10
  • SPD + Grüne67 of 121
  • SPD + CDU + Linke73 of 121
  • SPD + CDU + FDP70 of 121
  • SPD + CDU + AfD70 of 121
  • SPD + Linke + FDP62 of 121
  • SPD + Linke + AfD62 of 121
  • Grüne + CDU + Linke62 of 121
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.