Infratest dimap poll of 23 January 2020 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- NDR
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 21 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD32.0%+3.0
- Grüne27.0%-2.0
- CDU16.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- AfD7.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Jan 2020.
In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 27.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 16 to 21 Jan 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by NDR.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Jan 2020, SPD gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.9 points higher and Linke 2.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.9average 29.1
- Linke -2.9average 10.9
- Grüne +2.0average 25.0
- FDP -1.6average 7.6
- CDU +0.6average 15.4
- AfD -0.5average 7.5
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD40
- Grüne34
- CDU20
- Linke10
- AfD9
- FDP8
- SPD + Grüne74 of 121
- SPD + CDU + Linke70 of 121
- SPD + CDU + AfD69 of 121
- SPD + CDU + FDP68 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + Linke64 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + AfD63 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + FDP62 of 121
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.