Pollster and election
Infratest dimap on the Thuringia state election
17 polls since 22 June 2017, the latest from 22 August 2024 for ARD. Against the current average of all pollsters, Infratest dimap has AfD -10.0 and BSW +10.0.
- AfD30.0%+2.0
- CDU23.0%±0
- BSW17.0%-4.0
- Linke13.0%+2.0
- SPD7.0%±0
- Grüne3.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
30.0%
+2.0
AfD
23.0%
±0
CDU
17.0%
-4.0
BSW
13.0%
+2.0
Linke
7.0%
±0
SPD
3.0%
-1.0
Grüne
7.0%
+1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Infratest dimap poll of 18 Jun 2024.
Trend
All Infratest dimap figures for the Thuringia state election
Accuracy
Infratest dimap before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 1 Sep 2024 (poll 22 Aug 2024)1.0 ptsbiggest miss AfD -2.8
- Election 27 Oct 2019 (poll 17 Oct 2019)1.3 ptsbiggest miss CDU +2.2
Archive
All 17 polls
| Pollster | Published | AfD | CDU | BSW | Linke | SPD | Grüne | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infratest dimap | 22 Aug 2024 | 30 | 23 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 18 Jun 2024 | 28 | 23 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 19 Mar 2024 | 29 | 20 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 5 Jul 2023 | 34 | 21 | – | 20 | 10 | 5 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 4 Aug 2022 | 25 | 22 | – | 22 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| Infratest dimap | 24 Feb 2022 | 24 | 19 | – | 23 | 15 | 5 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 27 Jul 2021 | 22 | 21 | – | 27 | 11 | 6 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 2 Mar 2021 | 23 | 22 | – | 29 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 6 Aug 2020 | 20 | 24 | – | 32 | 10 | 6 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 10 Feb 2020 | 24 | 13 | – | 39 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 28 Jan 2020 | 24 | 19 | – | 32 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 17 Oct 2019 | 24 | 24 | – | 29 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 16 Sep 2019 | 25 | 22 | – | 28 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 30 Jul 2019 | 24 | 21 | – | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 26 Mar 2019 | 20 | 28 | – | 24 | 11 | 8 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 28 Aug 2018 | 23 | 30 | – | 22 | 10 | 6 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 22 Jun 2017 | 13 | 37 | – | 27 | 10 | 5 | 4 |